Polls: Barisan Nasional likely to win the General Election with two third majority, gain from three corner fights and redelineation exercise

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Free Malaysia Today

Free Malaysia Today

(Selangor, Petaling Jaya, 7 January) Barisan Nasional is likely to win the 14th General Election with two third majority, according to a poll.

Merdeka Center for Opinion Research carried out the survey last December. The investigation revealed that constituencies which will have been re-delineated and areas with three-corner fights will enable Barisan Nasional to regain two third majority.

The survey indicate that Pakatan Harapan, which is hard to control, may lead to the failure of the opposition.

Merdeka Center director Ibrahim Suffian said Barisan Nasional needs another 13 parliamentary seats to regain its two-third majority.

He said as the agreement among Pakatan Harapan seems to be more remote, Barisan is likely to retain two third majority in seats.

He said the prospect of opposition parties range from slim to almost zero as PAS leaders seem to be keen on avoiding Pakatan Harapan to win. PAS seems to be ready to assist Umno in defending Malays’ political power.

The poll also indicated that PAS may suffer defeat in Kelantan and Selangor in exchange of “unspecified reward”.

“If Najib were to win, his victory would be attributed to Hadi Awang as the latter’s decision would effectively split Malay votes in Pakatan Harapan and turn to Umno.”

Tun Mahathir received 18 % as Prime Minister whereas Najib 21%

According to a poll conducted by Universiti Malaya from July to December last year in 12 parliamentary seats, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak is the preferred choice of Prime Minister by the people.

New Straits Times reported that 21% of respondents want Najib continue as Prime Minister while another 18 % support Tun Mahathir.

Mahathir currently is the president of Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia. He was the Prime Minister of Malaysia from 1981 to 2003.

Parti Keadilan Rakyat de factor leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim received 10 % of support, Defence Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Tun Hussein and PAS president Hadi 9 % and 7 % respectively.

Chief researcher of the survey Associate Professor Awang Azman said the outcome of survey showed Najib receive people’s support.

Report to be released end of the month

He said the detailed report would be released by the end of the month. Another poll will start next week until March.

Voters from 12 parliamentary constituencies participated in the first phase of the survey. Second phase will see voters from rural areas. He said if the General Election does not fall on March, then the third phase of survey would commence from April to July.

Respondents are most concerned with inflation, only 2% pay attention to 1MDB scandal

The survey said three major issues that Malaysians are concerned with: Inflation (68%), corruption (36 %) and employment opportunities (19 %). Other issues include housing, political instability, maintaining Malay privileges, weakening leadership and worsening in racial ties.

Prime Minister’s integrity and IMDB scandals are two issues that respondents are least concerned with as they are ranked 3 % and 2 % respectively.

Due to lack of alternative credible leaders, Najib’s image as Malay Muslim and improvement in economic views have consolidated his position in Umno.

Main battle field for the 14th General Election are: Kedah, Selangor, Kelantan, Terengganu, Johor and Sabah. Survey showed the popularity of opposition parties dropped in a significant manner in December.

“Only 21% of respondents were happy with Pakatan Harapan and only 13 % Malay respondents shared similar sentiment.”

Public satisfaction on government’s performance improved

Since September, the public satisfaction on government’s performance has improved. Due to economic and political factors, the public remained cautious.

In December, 37 % of respondents said the country is moving towards the right direction of development but 50% of respondents disagreed.

Public poll involved 1,550 respondents from 12 parliamentary constituencies

The Malaysian Insight reported that the survey conducted by Universiti Malaya involved 1,550 respondents from 12 parliamentary constituencies where they were asked various questions on election.

The 12 parliamentary constituencies are: Jerlun, Permatang Pauh, Kuala Krai, Kuala Terengganu, Sepang, Bandar Tun Razak, Gelang Patah, Pasir Gudang, Penampang, Semporna, Petra Jaya and Bandar Kuching.

Of the 12 seats, three were won by Barisan Nasional while two by PKR, DAP and Parti Amanah Negara respectively, one each by PAS, Warisan and an independent.

Awang Azman said popularity of Tun Dr Mahathir began to soar last October and December.

“Prior to Mahathir being elected as the Pakatan Harapan candidate for Prime Minister, poll showed that he is quite popular.”